AN ASSESSMENT OF FERTILITY RATE AND DIFFERENTIALS IN WOMEN WITHIN THE REPRODUCTIVE AGE IN KADUNA STATE

Abstract

This dissertation looked at the fertility rate, fertility pattern and some of the diseases that cause fertility problems which leads to pregnancy wastage and fertility differentials in women within the reproductive age using binary Logistic and Multiple regression. The result shows that the average Tota l Fertility Rate (TFR) of sample I, sample II and sample III are approximately five (5) children per woman, seven(7) children and six (6) children respectively. The histogram and the line graph of the three samplesindicate a gradual decline in TFR as the y ears increases. R esult of logistic regression shows that Sexually Transmitted Disease (STD), Ectopic Pregnancy (ECT) and Ovarian Cyst (O VC) have a negative value which indicates decrease in Total Life Birth . Multiple regression result indicates a positive value in STD, FB and ECT while OVC is negative in sample I. In sample II, only STD is negative while FB, OVC and ECT are positive. Result of Sample III shows a positive value in STD, FB, OVC and ECT which indicate increase in Total Life Birth (TLB). Based on the result of the two method s used, binary logistic regression proved to be the best model for analyzing the data since the result is showing negative values in the variables STD, OVC and ECT which indicates decrease in fertility. While positive values in most of the variables in Multiple Regression result indicates increase in TLB.